Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter is one of the great communicators of probability and uncertainty. His new book, The Art of Uncertainty, explains how to approach uncertainty, luck, probability and ...
Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about physics, science, academia, and pop culture. The outrage of the moment in my social media circles is over the New ...
In A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities, published in 1814, Pierre-Simon Laplace introduced a notorious hypothetical creature: a “vast intelligence” that knew the complete physical state of the ...