Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

Regulators evaluate RNG systems to ensure outcomes are not manipulated and that probabilities behave as advertised.

The idea that reality might be a kind of cosmic software has shifted from late-night dorm debate to a live question in ...

Together with an international team, researchers from the Molecular Physics Department at the Fritz Haber Institute have ...

Nvidia’s new AI system, Alpamayo, could prove a major step to making autonomous cars a common sight on our roads.

In this week’s Crypto Long & Short Newsletter, Marcin Kazmierczak writes on risk ratings and how they are central to capital ...

Introduction: Moving Beyond Predictive Accuracy  Prediction has been traditionally the backbone of applied data science. From ...

For decades, bulky spectrometers have been the main tools for understanding how things are made of chemicals (a thing called composition). Spectrometers are a type of lab equipment that uses prisms or ...

When markets get loud, discipline- not predictions, makes the difference. Darnel Berntz shares how probability, planning, and ...

Multi-tasking robots equipped with artificial intelligence will change the world. Mankind has to be ready to get the best out ...

Stronger El Niño events are more likely when springtime surface waters in the western Pacific Ocean become unusually salty, a ...

Organizations embracing agents often fail to estimate the costs of testing their output, with the non-deterministic nature of results often leading to complex and expensive evals.